Clutch Puppy Picks

Model Performance

Everything the model has learned, graded against final scores and closing lines.

← Picks
Win rate (all time)
48%
16-17-0
ROI (all time)
-7%
-2.70 units
Beat closing line
—
no closing data yet
Predicted score MAE
13.27
lower is better

Last 30 days

Win rate
48%
ROI
-7%
Units
-2.70
Cumulative units (last 30 days)

Trend rule performance

Min 3 graded matches.

  • Heavy wind, total under
    NFL · n=75
    62%
  • West coast team traveling east for 1 PM ET
    NFL · n=110
    59%
  • Hot offense vs weak pitching
    MLB · n=180
    58%
  • Strong wind out, total over
    MLB · n=120
    57%
  • Bullpen exhaustion fade
    MLB · n=240
    56%
  • Short-week home dog
    NFL · n=90
    55%
  • Public favorite inflation fade
    NFL · n=200
    55%

Best performing factors

Min 5 graded picks per factor.

  • Not enough data yet.

Worst performing factors

Min 5 graded picks per factor.

  • Not enough data yet.
Admin → model weights